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Before the bell: FNM, FRE, AMLN, BMY, AAPL, AMR ...

U.S. stock futures were lower this morning on fear Tropical Storm Gustav's path may pose a threat to refinery activity along the Gulf of Mexico coastline and some would have to shut down. Indeed, oil prices rose to above $117 a barrel Wednesday. Also in focus today is the upcoming durable goods order to be reported before the opening bell. Meanwhile, the FDIC is considering borrowing funds from the Treasury, amid an expected wave of bank failures. Nine banks have failed so far this year, and the number of troubled U.S. banks rose 30% to 117 in the second quarter.
[Update: Futures turned positive after durable goods unexpectedly gained.]

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), which stocks jumped big Tuesday, both had several ratings cut by Standard & Poor's. Still, both stocks seem to continue their climb in premarket with Fannie shares up 7.5% and Freddie's up 10%. At least two analysts, from Citigroup and Goldman said Tuesday the situation isn't as bad as it may seem.

From financials to toys: A federal jury awarded Mattel Inc. (NYSE: MAT) $100 million in damages on Tuesday in a federal copyright lawsuit against MGA Entertainment Inc., the maker of the saucy Bratz dolls.

Moving to pharmaceuticals, Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AMLN) and Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) shares are down 10% and 1% respectively in premarket trading after four more patients taking their Byetta diabetes medication have died. Baird downgraded Amylin from Buy to Neutral and cut its price target from $37 to $27. Soleil downgraded AMLN from Hold to Sell.

Continue reading Before the bell: FNM, FRE, AMLN, BMY, AAPL, AMR ...

Dell earnings preview: Balancing act of cost cuts and earnings growth

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), a PC maker whose rivals include Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), is due to report second-quarter numbers on Thursday, August 28, after the market close. It's going to be interesting to see what the company says about demand levels for its PCs. We're still working our way through a tough economic period, so in some respects, this will be a sign of how the consumer is faring.

Of course, Dell has been trying to stage a comeback lately even without regard to the economy. As with any once-hot growth stock, there comes a time when the capital appreciation starts to slow and gains are digested. Dell's shares have cooled over the last several years. Dell's stock has decreased over 21% over the five-year timeframe, and 29% over the last three years.

Lately, though, the stock has been stronger and, appreciating over 20% in the past six months, and nearly 7% in the past month alone.

Dell is expected to report a double-digit increase in the bottom line this Thursday. The call is for 36 cents per share, according to Earnings.com. Last year at this time, Dell posted earnings of 32 cents per share. Looking at the history of Q2 results, I'd say it's a decent bet that the company meets expectations. If management were to blow the estimates out of the water, it would be impressive, but my gut says that won't happen. According to Trey Thoelcke, top-line revenues should expand by roughly 8%.

Continue reading Dell earnings preview: Balancing act of cost cuts and earnings growth

Bloated MSFT, sluggish YHOO & confused AOL need a new diet

My very first post on bloggingstocks was Microsoft: What are you thinking about? where I ranted that Microsoft Inc. (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock was going nowhere. Over the last 29, months that is exactly what it has done. It closed yesterday at $27.62.

This is not to say it has not had it's moments rising at one time to a 52-week high of $37.50 on a lot of hopes and prayers. Nevertheless, I felt then and do now that MSFT would be better off in pieces Micro'soft' vs Micro'hard' -- Break it up fellas!

If Microsoft wants to compete against Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and be a dominant player on the web, it should split out its web services as a separate company. That new company would be the right merger partner for Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). There is no reason to tie the web services business to the future of the Zune (if it has one) or the XBOX entertainment game player and other equally unrelated business.

Continue reading Bloated MSFT, sluggish YHOO & confused AOL need a new diet

Microsoft to open $400 million data center in Iowa

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) will be building its fourth data center in Des Moines, Iowa at a cost of $500 million, the software maker said yesterday. The reasons give for Iowa as the site for such a large project were tax breaks as well as low energy costs. The data center will be located on a 42-acre plot of land just outside Des Moines. Fifty to 75 workers are expected at the new data center, with an average salary of $70,000 annually.

Microsoft must think adding large data centers will help its online efforts compete against Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Perhaps the company is right -- because right now, no company can touch Google's online search market. However, there are more Microsoft Hotmail and Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) Mail users than Google Gmail users. Google's market share lead doesn't extend into all its online product offerings, but don't think for a second that the Mountain View-based company doesn't want to steal as many users away from Microsoft's Hotmail as possible -- plus grab customers of other Microsoft online services.

The new data center will take a year to 18 months to compete, although company officials were mum on how many servers would reside there, as the company is still designing the data center. It did say that its data center servers would be contained in shipping containers instead of the standard server rack to allow more transport and setup flexibility. The state of Iowa is expected to give combined tax breaks to Ole' Softie of about $3 million per year. Not to be outdone, though, Google is building a $600 million data center just 122 miles west of Des Moines. At last, two of the largest forces in computing will be neighbors soon.

Google presses its mobile advantage

Google's (NASDAQ: GOOG) success over the next decade depends, to some extent, on moving its search products from PCs to the new generation of mobile devices. It will go a long way toward getting a head start on that in a deal with Verizon (NYSE: VZ).

According to The Wall Street Journal, "The deal under discussion, which would make Google the default search provider on Verizon devices and give it a share of ad revenue, is aimed at dramatically simplifying what is now a confusing set of search options for cellphone users."

The news is not good for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) or Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). After losing the PC search battle, their next, and perhaps last, option to pick up substantial business is on mobile handsets. Because Verizon has about 70 million subscribers in the U.S., a large opportunity to gain share from Google is gone.

Deals with cellular carriers are overrated. Even if the default search engine is on a handset, users can still access any other search company through the phone's web browser.

If PC habits carry over to the wireless world, Google has already won the new war. Few people are likely to change search preferences from device to device.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

GameStop delivers incredible growth, but stock just won't react

Investors have to find this frustrating. I know I hate it when this happens to one of my stocks. GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) issued its Q2 numbers today. The numbers were a thing of beauty for the most part. Yet, the stock goes nowhere. And yes, I know this is a bad market day, but still, I thought a little pop was in order. As it is, shares are down about 1% as I write.

Sales increased almost 35% to $1.8 billion. The bottom line saw an increase of well over 100%, coming in at $0.34 per diluted share. According to this article, expectations were for $0.28 per share. So, do you see where I'm coming from? Expectations were beat, and growth was stellar... come on, investors, give the stock a bid! Granted, the article mentioned something I noticed as well: the gross margin declined. Okay, it declined. But same-store sales simply rocketed like a spacecraft at a growth rate of 20% during Q2. That has to be worth something ahead of the holiday-selling season. Games from Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS), Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI), and Nintendo Co., Ltd. (ADR) (OTC: NTDOY) powered the quarter. And guess what? They're going to power the next two quarters, too. We have new iterations of Guitar Hero, Call of Duty, and Rock Band to look forward to. Oh, and Lego Batman. Seriously, don't discount that latter title. A lot of Sony Corporation (ADR) (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3s and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360s will move off shelves, and that little system called the Wii is going to be the hottest console again this Christmas. Oh, and then there's the DS. GameStop sells 'em all.

GameStop beat its own guidance, and I think it has a great chance of continuing to beat its own guidance in the near future. That aforementioned article mentions that investors are concerned with slowing growth in the video-game universe. Okay, point well taken, I suppose. But GameStop is such a great brand in its sector, and consumers have come to know it as the go-to place for entertainment software. And as hardware continues to become cheaper, and as the installed user base rises, GameStop should benefit. The shares haven't done well this year, declining over 30% on the year-to-date timeframe as of this writing. The stock is much closer to its 52-week low than to its 52-week high. It's weak. But, I also think it's cheap. If you have a long time horizon, you may want to check GameStop out. If you're a quicker trader, you may want to wait for the stock to come back about $5 toward its 52-week low (if that happens).

Disclosure: I own Activision Blizzard; positions can change at any time.

Can Jerry Seinfeld improve Microsoft's brand equity?

According to Moneyweb, software giant Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is hooking up with Jerry Seinfeld. No, they're not trying to revive the comedian's sitcom career (although that would be cool). It seems Microsoft is feeling a bit blah about its brand equity, so it's looking to initiate a hip advertising campaign that will tout the company's image and its powerful Windows Vista technology.

No doubt, the advertising campaign from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) that makes fun of the PC-Windows platform has a lot to do with it. I love those commercials, and I think it's about time Microsoft came to its senses and decided to do something serious to answer them. A campaign with Seinfeld, if done with a maximum amount of creative wit, will work wonders. But of course, that's the point -- it has to be done right. Seinfeld is a big name, and his presence carries a lot of weight with consumers.

Still, I have reservations about using him in an ad campaign. Am I the only one who wasn't impressed by his American Express commercials? I liked Seinfeld in his famous television show, but seeing him pitch charge cards didn't make me want to apply for one. I thought he was boring in the format.

Apparently, ad firm Crispin Porter + Bogusky will be doing the ads featuring Seinfeld, and they were the creative force behind the Burger King commercials with the creepy King mascot. Those commercials rock. It would be nice if the firm could do something as edgy with Seinfeld and Microsoft, but I'm not holding my breath. I'm not sure that kind of lightning could strike twice.

Continue reading Can Jerry Seinfeld improve Microsoft's brand equity?

Before the bell: Stocks to decline; FNM, LEH, IACI, LTD, CRM, AAPL, MSFT ...

U.S. stock futures were lower this morning, pointing to a weaker start Thursday following a reprieve Wednesday. Concerns over financials toll center stage again as oil continued to swing higher. Some economic data released later today may affect trading as well: Philadelphia-area poll of activity for August, leading indicators for July and weekly jobless claims.

Investors continued to fear nationalization of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), each of which declined 27% and 22% Wednesday respectively. FNM and FRE are declining about 4.5% and 9% respectively in premarket trading. Jim Cramer thinks trading in the shares should be stopped for fear of manipulation as the short-selling rules ended.

Staying with financials, Citi lowered its third-quarter earnings estimates for Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) as it fears further writedowns, and a weaker business flow in addition to the seasonal slowdown. It cut its price target on Lehman to $35 from $50, but kept as Buy. Citi forecasts write-downs of $2.9 billion for Lehman, $1.8 billion for Goldman and $1.7 billion for Morgan Stanley.

As if that wasn't enough to raise concerns, the Wall Street Journal reports that the Federal Reserve called Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) last month to check a rumor that the bank was preparing to pull a line of credit for Lehman Brothers, which CS told the FED wasn't true. At least this shows the Fed is serious about taking and implementing the moral authority it should be.

Continue reading Before the bell: Stocks to decline; FNM, LEH, IACI, LTD, CRM, AAPL, MSFT ...

'Autopilot' portfolio: 10 stocks for long-term investors

"I've always been a big fan of putting into the market on a regular basis regardless of what is happening in the overall market," explains Chuck Carlson, long considered one of the advisory industry's leading experts on dividend reinvestment plans.

Here, the editor of The DRIP Investor offers a 10-stock "autopilot" portfolio that is diversified among 10 high quality dividend-paying stocks and requiring a monthly investment of under $500.

Carlson says, "If I've learned anything in the more than a quarter of a century of following the markets, it is this fact - buying stocks when you know you should (i.e. during sharp down moves) is really difficult. Our heads says we should; after all, substantial market downturns create the best values.

"But our emotions usually take control, thus making it very difficult to pull the trigger and put money into the market when stocks are falling.

"That's why I've always been a big fan of 401(k) plans. With these investment vehicles, investment programs are put on 'autopilot,' with dollars being put into the market on a regular basis (usually each paycheck) regardless of what is happening in the overall market.

"Fortunately, investors can duplicate the autopilot feature of 401(k) plans with their DRIP investments by taking advantage of automatic monthly investment features provided by most DRIPs.

Continue reading 'Autopilot' portfolio: 10 stocks for long-term investors

Yahoo spent $36 million fending off Microsoft

As if the getting-older-by-the-minute Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) didn't need another mark against it, the internet pioneer and stubborn company recently provided information on the costs it incurred in fending off a successful Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) bid this summer. The final tab: $36 million.

Much of this tab was with advisory and law firms that helped the company deal with Microsoft along with a proxy battle by Carl Icahn that was settled just a few weeks ago with the installment of some Icahn puppets as board directors.

As a Yahoo! investor, are you pleased with the way Yahoo! has defended itself? Would the company be better suited for long-term success as a Microsoft division, or going at it alone as it has been?

How about the company taking $36 million from its cash pile to pay for all those consultants and attorneys? Was all the effort and expense in the best interest of the Yahoo! shareholder? Oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens doesn't think so -- but what about you?

It was a hot July for Nintendo -- worth watching the stock?

No, you're not surprised. Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) moved the most video-game consoles in the U.S. in July. According to this Bloomberg article, which cites monthly data supplied by market-research firm NPD, gamers purchased over 550,000 Wii systems. Sony's (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3 was snapped up by almost 225,000 players, and Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 sold about 205,000 units.

There's no question about it now -- the Wii should dominate the holiday season. Momentum is behind the company's strategy of creating products that appeal to casual gamers. I'd be shocked if the fad all of a sudden burned itself out, although Douglas McIntyre did write recently about the possibility of Nintendo running out of steam at some point. The Wii Fit exercise system was the second best-selling software title in July. That property is definitely helping drive Nintendo's fortunes.

In other software statistics, Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) was number one with NCAA Football '09. Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) came in third with its version of Guitar Hero for the Nintendo DS handheld unit. EA should come out on top again next month since the new iteration of its Madden franchise came out earlier this week. There was a lot of excitement over that game, as there traditionally is every summer.

Continue reading It was a hot July for Nintendo -- worth watching the stock?

Applied Materials reports abysmal results -- not an interesting value play

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), a technology company that provides solutions to industries involved with such things as semiconductors, flat panel displays and solar photovoltaic cells, and whose colleagues include KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) and LAM Research (NASDAQ: LRCX), reported earnings for the third quarter on Tuesday.

They weren't great. The top line decreased by 28%, coming in at $1.8 billion. Adjusted earnings per diluted share dropped well over 50% to 17 cents. Although these numbers are horrible, it should be noted that the company at least beat estimates of 14 cents per share.

Well, not to be a downer or anything, but Applied Materials is not the tech stock I want to be in right now. It is suffering through a dismal economic environment, and the growth rates just don't look good. Not only do you have these year-over-year declines, but you've also got sequential-quarter statistics showing a negative trend. Plus, new orders are down significantly, and the gross margin took a dive.

Is there any saving grace to the report? Yes. Cash flow from operations was essentially flat over the nine-month timeframe at almost $1.6 billion. Hey, flat is better than a decline, correct?

Continue reading Applied Materials reports abysmal results -- not an interesting value play

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Exodus from oil may goose tech

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says all that money has to go somewhere, and this is a likely destination.

Clash of the ideals! Oil's down, and what can you buy when there's so much bad bank news? What can you buy when Wachovia (NYSE: WB) (Cramer's Take) is boosting reserves and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS)) (Cramer's Take) is still being pursued by authorities and JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) says July stunk and UBS (NYSE: UBS) (Cramer's Take) is so tarnished that you can't believe it was once the most conservative blue chip out there.

The answer is tech, of course!

Wait a second. Would anyone mind if we actually had a reason to buy tech beyond the Kindle, the device that made Citigroup gaga about Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) (Cramer's Take) -- not that you needed a device to do that.

Sure, we have pre-seasonality. Remember, you are supposed to buy tech at the end of the summer, not that anyone waits that long.

But what we really have is that quant thinking that Doug rails about so correctly: the CDO of stocks! We take a little bad tech, the lowest-end stuff like RF Micro (NASDAQ: RFMD) (Cramer's Take) and Parametric (NASDAQ: PMTC) (Cramer's Take); mix in some mid-tech, stuff like National Semi (NYSE: NSM) (Cramer's Take) and Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI) (Cramer's Take); then throw in Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) (Cramer's Take), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) (Cramer's Take), Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) (Cramer's Take), Amazon and Adobe (NASDAQ: ABDE) (Cramer's Take) -- yes, Adobe; then split them into tranches, slice 'em up, and offer a derivative on them for those who want leverage and we have, well, a tech rally!

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Exodus from oil may goose tech

Company nicknames: Microsoft nickname is an insult to Mister Softee

This post is one in a series on prominent company nicknames. See all 25, and share your thoughts and memories about Mr. Softee below in the comments.

You would be hard-pressed to find a professional stock trader today who didn't know that "Mister Softee" is Microsoft (NYSE: MSFT) . The nickname is so widely-used among investors that it seems to barely need explanation. But there is actually a quite simple reason for the derivation of the moniker. Here is how I imagine it taking hold:

Once upon a time in a land known as Manhattan, some Wall Street traders were enjoying some after-work beers. After about the fifth brew, these professionals began to gain insights, as they so often do today, into weighty topics.

They pondered the amorous tastes of Ginger and Mary Ann from Gilligan's Island. They debated whether "Freebird" or "Stairway to Heaven" was the greatest rock song of all time. Then, one of the traders had the burst of insight that the ticker symbol for Microsoft ("MSFT") has some of the same letters as beloved self-serve ice cream Mister Softee. And so, one of the most ubiquitous bits of Wall Street slang was born.

Continue reading Company nicknames: Microsoft nickname is an insult to Mister Softee

CEOs practice the old soft shoe

CEOs have been doing the old soft shoe at quarterly report time since the market first form, but dancing now seems to have become a favored pastime of CEOs include Steve Ballmer of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Jerry Yang of Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) and (surprise? hardly) Mark Cuban (also a yahoo).

Yang busted some moves recently dancing with the star of Where the Hell is Matt?, the outstanding internet feature following adventurer and dancer (I use the term loosely) Matt Harding. Don't miss the video at the end of this post, if you're not familiar with Matt. - it's perhaps the most charming, uplifting video I've seen in years.

Of course, who can forget Steve Ballmer's dance at the podium during a Microsoft presentation? And, of course, Mark, 'Gimme the Cubs" Cuban performing on Dancing with the Stars?

Come to think of it, many CEOs are already quite accomplished at performing the fan dance with their balance sheets. Ex-Gov. Spitzer has shown his fondness for the hustle and the shag, while Donald Rumsfeld is still waiting for the cakewalk to begin. Senator Craig seems to favor the swing, while President Bush appears dead-set on taking on the Persian Dance before he waltzes out of the White House.

And me? Having lived through the Vietnam Era, I'm doing the Time Warp again.

Thanks to Portfolio.com

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Last updated: August 27, 2008: 09:58 PM

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